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Cake day: January 18th, 2025

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  • I hadn’t, but it’s only about the bullet-ballots, which are a small part of it.

    There are signs beyond just raw stats and it’s not only about bullet ballots.

    “You’d see people recorded as voting who say they never did”

    How? The point isn’t fake voters. The claim is that the system changed how some real votes were counted, flipping votes above a certain limit for certain people. In Rockland County, NY, you have sworn affidavits from real voters saying their votes were missing or miscounted. This isn’t just “I forgot to vote” - these are people whose totals don’t match what the machines reported. That’s why a judge agreed it deserves discovery.

    “You’d see exit polls that don’t make sense”

    If the manipulation changed a big enough chunk of votes in a single county, then yes, you would probably see a clear mismatch between the exit poll and the final count. But what people are saying is that the alleged flips were small and spread out - for example, switching just enough votes here and there to stay under the radar.

    Exit polls have a margin of error. If the flip is just two or three percent in key spots, it might not stand out because normal voter shifts, turnout differences, or shy-voter effects can explain small gaps. Plus, not every place has a solid local exit poll; some counties don’t even do them at all.

    So yes, you could catch a huge flip that way, but if the flips were subtle and spread across many precincts, an exit poll alone probably wouldn’t prove it. The real test is still comparing the paper ballots directly to what the machines reported.

    “You’d see an audit reveal missing paper ballots”

    That is exactly what the Clark County, NV, ballot-level data shows. The machine results can’t be explained by the physical ballots alone. This is why people keep asking for full hand counts in specific high-risk counties instead of broad audits that skip over the suspicious spots.

    No one is saying “Trump definitely lost.” The point is that the pattern is suspicious enough that it should be fully checked, with paper, logs, and software all verified properly. That is just basic accountability, not wishful thinking.


  • The Trump lawyer thing I did hear about, I don’t remember anything about actually changing results though, just unauthorized access.

    Lot of handwaving in this post, go read the full report. There were multiple breaches.

    https://substack.com/home/post/p-151721941

    Trump saying something suspicious, well, he says a lot of stuff.

    What does it mean though?

    The drop off rates being different between the two candidates seems sensible to me, I’d expect quite a few Trump voters to just care about Trump and not the rest of the races, and less so on the Democratic side.

    The point is that happened at an unprecedented rate which appears unnatural. Historically drop-off rates don’t show that level of extreme split between presidential and down-ballot races, even among single-issue or personality-driven voters. Again more handwaving based on vibes

    A coordinated, multi-state conspiracy to rig the election seems very unlikely to stay completely airtight for over a year.

    It didn’t, it’s been public the full time you’ve just not been listening.

    Is there a source that specifically claims that these anomalies are happening in states using the same voting system and not in others? I haven’t seen that in anything linked to me so far, and that would be at least interesting.

    There’s clear evidence that anomalies correlate with specific machines (ES&S/Dominion), but only in strategic states/counties, not wherever those machines are used., The Election Truth Alliance noted in their Clark County NV analysis that anomalies appeared in high-volume ES&S tabulators, seen in a swing county but not replicated in other counties using the same machines. A Planet Critical deep‑dive found that “bullet ballots” — votes cast for only president, skipping down-ballot races — spiked dramatically in swing states using ES&S tabulators, with Trump bullet ballots at 7.2% in Arizona and 5.5% in Nevada, and 11% in North Carolina. By contrast, these same systems in nearby non-swing states (Oregon, Utah, Idaho) saw a spike of less than 0.05%.

    If the anomalies were due to random mechanical faults or uniform software bugs, you’d expect to see them statewide - but that’s not what the numbers show.

    https://www.planetcritical.com/p/cyber-security-experts-warn-election-hacked





  • Your hurricane analogy doesn’t hold because the point isn’t that a bunch of unrelated events magically lined up, it’s that the same anomalies showed up in the same voting systems, in multiple places, under almost identical conditions. The statistical models don’t treat these like random broken windows, they test how likely the same patterns could happen systematically without manipulation.

    Pennsylvania is just the latest focus partly because Trump basically said it himself:

    “We were in danger of losing Pennsylvania. But he knows those computers better than anybody, all those vote-counting computers. And we ended up winning Pennsylvania like in a landslide. So, thank you to Elon.”

    What does that even mean if it’s not hinting at interference?

    And it’s not just Pennsylvania. There is detailed analysis for Clark County, Nevada, drop-off rate studies covering six states, and ongoing work expanding that to eleven more full states.

    More importantly, this is not just about statistics. In Coffee County, Georgia, Trump lawyer Sidney Powell actually hired a tech team to access and copy Dominion voting system software and data. There is security footage, emails, invoices, and sworn testimony proving it happened. Powell was indicted for conspiracy to commit computer crimes and ended up pleading guilty to multiple counts, admitting what they did and agreeing to testify against others.

    This was not a one-off either. Similar breaches happened in Michigan and Colorado, which is why in December 2023 almost two dozen well-known election security experts and computer scientists signed an open letter warning that Trump allies were behind a coordinated multistate effort to breach voting software that runs most of the country’s ballots.

    It’s always projection with these people; if they’re accusing the other side of doing something, chances are they’re the ones doing it. It’s like your daft cousin who keeps yelling “Stop cheating!” during a board game while he’s got extra cards hidden up his sleeve. They think the Democrats are rigging the election, so they’re busy rigging it themselves to tilt the scales their way.

    So it really doesn’t matter if you personally believe every detail or not. The point is there is so much credible evidence, with real people charged and pleading guilty, that we should be shouting about it until it gets a real, independent investigation.