Overall, registered voters say they favor Mr. Trump over Mr. Biden in next year’s presidential election by two percentage points, 46 percent to 44 percent. The president’s job approval rating has slid to 37 percent, down two points from July.
But there is considerable uncertainty over whether disaffected voters will even vote. While it is still early, the race is flipped among the likely electorate, with Mr. Biden leading by two percentage points.
Full poll at https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/12/19/us/elections/times-siena-poll-registered-voter-crosstabs.html
Full poll archived at https://web.archive.org/web/20231219184128/https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/12/19/us/elections/times-siena-poll-registered-voter-crosstabs.html
I always have suspicions when I see “do you approve or disapprove of how X is handling Y polls.” Disapproval might mean that the person wants X to move to the left or to the right, but they are both labeled as “disapprove.”
For example, say John wants Biden to withhold all aid to Israel until there’s a ceasefire. He would say he disapproves of Biden’s handling. But now say that Jim thinks the US should go in and bomb Gaza until nobody is left. He also disapproves of Biden’s actions.
The fact that more people sided with Israel (47%-20%), thought that Trump would do a better job (46%-38%), and watched FOX News (13% vs second place CNN at 10%)leads me to think that this poll got a lot more Republicans than Democrats. This likely just shows “Republicans aren’t going to support Biden” rather than “Democrats are fleeing Biden.”
Polls like this really need to include “do you want X to move more to the left or more to the right” in their disapproval questions. (Though likely phrased better than that.)
This is the best summary I could come up with:
The fractured views on the conflict among traditionally Democratic voter groups show the continued difficulty Mr. Biden faces of holding together the coalition he built in 2020 — a challenge that is likely to persist even as economic indicators grow more positive and legal troubles swirl around his expected opponent, former President Donald J. Trump.
“I don’t want to vote for someone who is not aligned with my own personal values, as Biden has shown he is not when it comes to Gaza,” said Colin Lohner, a 27-year-old software engineer in San Francisco.
Given a choice between two courses of action, a narrow plurality of voters, 44 percent, said Israel should stop its military campaign to protect against civilian casualties, already totaling nearly 20,000 people killed, according to Gaza health authorities.
The social media platform, which is owned by a Chinese company, has come under heated criticism from both parties, but especially Republicans, for an inflammatory stream of videos aimed at users who skew very young.
For years, Republicans, led by Mr. Trump, have accused Democrats of undermining Israel’s government and have implored Jewish voters to leave the party that nearly three-quarters of them traditionally have called their political home.
“I think he has been very good at balancing both from the left and the right and coming up with a nuanced response,” Mr. Lebson said, adding, “Biden historically, for his entire political career, has always been supportive of the Jewish community and very against antisemitism.”
The original article contains 1,917 words, the summary contains 246 words. Saved 87%. I’m a bot and I’m open source!
No U.S. candidate supports Hamas, but so many support Hamas. They just overlook the mass slaughter they conducted or the raping of grandmother’s and children.
After an Israeli bomb has blown your grandmother, children, and whole extended family into chunks of viscera, who knows what you’d overlook
FTR, I personally don’t support the intentional targeting of civilians or the use of rape as a weapon of war, but I can understand how some people end up in that very evil headspace given what they’ve been through
People want one easy and clear villain; humans like simple choices. The problem is, it’s two easy and clear villains, one giving rise to the other, so people who are unfamiliar with existing in that gray area try to resolve that cognitive dissonance by picking a side and making excuses for their choice.
