A looming election rematch next year between U.S. President Joe Biden and his predecessor Donald Trump would be closely fought, a new Reuters/Ipsos poll found, with both candidates saddled with profound vulnerabilities that could cost them the White House.
“Trump’s lead widened to a 5-point advantage when respondents were given an option to vote for Kennedy.”
However:
“In the seven states where the election was closest in 2020 – Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina and Michigan – Biden had a 4-point lead among Americans who said they were sure to vote.”
À NPR/PBS Newshour/Marist poll found Joe Biden edging Donald Trump in a 2024 head-to-head match up, 49% to 46%.
However, in a three-way contest with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. running as an independent, Biden opens up a 7-point lead over Trump, 44% to 37% with 16% for Kennedy.
https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the-2024-presidential-contest/
Now that’s an October poll, but I doubt it’s changed much.
Yeah, I think it just reiterates that it’s close, which is unbelievable in itself.
But, overall, it’s still way too early to say anything with certainty. A year in politics is an eternity.
True. But as far as a RFK bid goes, Biden will ignore him and Trump will attack him.
GW Bush became instantly popular in a few days after 9/11. Trump suffered from his handling of COVID so close to the vote. A single event can make or break a candidate in significantly less time than a year.
It’s far and away too early to be making predictions.
Nobody said it wasn’t. It’s just interesting to see these kinds of polls to look into the tea leaves of campaign strategy.
That is interesting, I agree. Also, glad that’s not my job.