Technically there are no examples of a civic movement successfully engaging 3.5% of the population and failing, but there are examples of movements engaging less than 3.5% of the population and succeeding. The 3.5% rule is a sufficient rather than necessary condition. I’d say that rather than numbers what’s necessary now is to turn the numbers that already exist into real widespread action.
That’s still quite a bit short of the nearly 12 million 3.5% threshold that correlates with success.
Technically there are no examples of a civic movement successfully engaging 3.5% of the population and failing, but there are examples of movements engaging less than 3.5% of the population and succeeding. The 3.5% rule is a sufficient rather than necessary condition. I’d say that rather than numbers what’s necessary now is to turn the numbers that already exist into real widespread action.