In a recent interview with far-right U.S. media site Breitbart, Danielle Smith handed Carney a gift-wrapped sledgehammer in the form of an admission that Pierre Poilievre would be "in sync" with Trump.
This is the data from the 2023 provincial election, so I guess that depends on what exodus you’re referring to.
Considering the NDP only needs to flip 6 ridings for an AB majority, and there are at least 6 to flip in Calgary, and that Nenshi is the leader of the NDP now… I think AB will likely see an NDP government next time based on that math alone. Smith being a fucking national embarrassment is just the icing on the cake.
I’m an old guy so I get it. Also there is a narrative about AB at a national level that’s hard to shake.
Flipping (the ideally located) 1380 votes in AB in 2023 would have produced an NDP majority. I don’t think Canada really understands the razors Edge that AB sits on.
It’s possible that transient voters helped push the needle, but the “deconservativeing” of AB may also be a result of the less exciting explanation of urbanization. In general, urban populations trend “left”, and simply put, the share of the total voters (and seats) in urban areas has grown meaningfully since Klien.
Fair enough, I was only there for a handful of years, but did get to see an NDP premier so was happy with that. I was more meaning that the history is there, Alberta has historically supported NDP politics (especially since as I said, the CCF originates there) and the people I know who were born and raised there definitely still do. Alberta’s work/corporate culture I do legitimately miss compared to the bay street one I deal with now, I found it more open and willing to try things for example.
Statistically speaking, Albertans are as likely to vote NDP in a provincial election as people from BC are.
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This is the data from the 2023 provincial election, so I guess that depends on what exodus you’re referring to.
Considering the NDP only needs to flip 6 ridings for an AB majority, and there are at least 6 to flip in Calgary, and that Nenshi is the leader of the NDP now… I think AB will likely see an NDP government next time based on that math alone. Smith being a fucking national embarrassment is just the icing on the cake.
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I’m an old guy so I get it. Also there is a narrative about AB at a national level that’s hard to shake.
Flipping (the ideally located) 1380 votes in AB in 2023 would have produced an NDP majority. I don’t think Canada really understands the razors Edge that AB sits on.
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Shit, the NDP via the CCF originates in Calgary, IMO Notley was premier because of Albertans, not because of us who were only there for a few years.
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It’s possible that transient voters helped push the needle, but the “deconservativeing” of AB may also be a result of the less exciting explanation of urbanization. In general, urban populations trend “left”, and simply put, the share of the total voters (and seats) in urban areas has grown meaningfully since Klien.
Could be a lil’ of both, too.
Fair enough, I was only there for a handful of years, but did get to see an NDP premier so was happy with that. I was more meaning that the history is there, Alberta has historically supported NDP politics (especially since as I said, the CCF originates there) and the people I know who were born and raised there definitely still do. Alberta’s work/corporate culture I do legitimately miss compared to the bay street one I deal with now, I found it more open and willing to try things for example.
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