• Jesus
    link
    fedilink
    65 months ago

    Their model showed that it was a VERY close race and Trump had a 1 in 4 chance of winning.

    That doesn’t mean “Clinton is guaranteed to win.” It means, it’s a 4 sided die roll, and Trump had a side.

    • @InternetUser2012@lemmy.today
      link
      fedilink
      45 months ago

      She had a bigger lead than mr 34 felonies has right now. I don’t really care what polls say because they’re a load of shit. VOTE. If everyone votes, we won’t have any republikkklowns in office.

    • @samus12345@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      2
      edit-2
      5 months ago

      Yup, it was within the probability. What it shows is that a lot of people who voted for Trump didn’t say they were when polled.

      • Jesus
        link
        fedilink
        45 months ago

        IMHO, it mostly shows that most people don’t actually understand statistics and polling.

        If you have two candidates that are neck and neck, and are split by a percent that is close to the margin of error, then things can go either way depending on who is able to turnout votes on Election Day.