• AutoTL;DRB
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    37 months ago

    This is the best summary I could come up with:


    As Democrats play defense in U.S. Senate races this year, two battleground-state incumbents start out ahead in their reelection campaigns.

    Bob Casey in Pennsylvania and Tammy Baldwin in Wisconsin are currently leading their lesser-known Republican challengers by seven points.

    Both Casey and Baldwin enjoyed large margins of victory in 2018, but their reelection bids look more competitive at the moment in what is a more challenging environment.

    We find plenty of undecided voters and good reasons for the races to tighten as the campaigns heat up this fall.

    Today, many voters are unhappy with President Biden’s job performance, and the presidential race is very competitive in these states right now.

    And importantly, when you look at their recent votes for president and Congress, the undecided in these Senate races are by and large Republican voters — not surprising since they may not yet be familiar with their party’s nominee.


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