• AutoTL;DRB
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    16 months ago

    This is the best summary I could come up with:


    The polling is notable as DeSantis and the super PAC supporting him have largely staked out their presence in Iowa.

    “Among registered Republicans, Trump leads with 52%, compared to 16% for Haley and 14% for DeSantis – independents show a closer contest, with Trump at 43%, Haley at 25%, and DeSantis at 15%,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, explained in a press release.

    “These numbers suggest that Trump will perform better in closed primary states where only registered Republicans can vote.”

    “Haley has made inroads with female voters where she trails Trump 47% to 20% (27 point difference) as compared with males who break for Trump 53% to 15% (38 point difference) for Haley,” Kimball said.

    Though the CBS News/YouGov poll shows Haley narrowing the gap in New Hampshire, Trump still holds a double-digit lead over her and DeSantis in both early states — raising questions about whether either will be able to keep the race competitive against the former president.

    The Iowa GOP caucus subset has a survey size of 420 voters and a margin of error of plus or minus 4.7 percentage points.


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