This is one to watch as opposed to all those nonsense national polls talking about which person is ahead or behind, we don’t have a national election, we have 50 state elections.
In 2020 Biden won 306 to 232 Electoral College votes.
If he maintains all other states, but loses Georgia and Michigan, that would put him at 274, President by 4 votes.
I know, I know, “a win is a win”, but when you consider the minimum number of EC votes per state is 3, winning by 4 is not a lot of wiggle room. Pretty much any other flippable state would throw it to Trump.
So, yeah, forget the national polls.
Watch Georgia:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/georgia/
Watch Michigan:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/michigan/
If those two fall, it takes +1. Pennsylvania? Wisconsin? Nevada? Arizona? New Mexico?
What’s crazy is since only weak candidates get primaries, people act like a primary hurts incumbents.
This could all be fixed by Biden stepping aside, but he’d rather risk the whole country than do that
The DNC would rather risk the whole country than do that.
If the DNC told him “You’re too old, you can’t win, step aside”, he likely would.
If he was able to stand on his record a primary wouldn’t hurt them because people could see the results. Refusing a primary on an unpopular candidate is simple arrogance and ego. Biden needs to go