MPs will now have to vote on the proposed eight-week suspension. The motion must be tabled by the government and cannot be amended or debated.
If the punishment is endorsed, a recall petition will be opened. Were 10% of voters in his constituency to sign it, a byelection would be called.
Should Pincher choose to stand down then a byelection would automatically be triggered, though the date for it would be announced by the government.
His Tamworth seat should be a comfortable hold for the Conservatives. In 2019, Pincher had a majority just shy of 20,000 votes.
If he’s recalled, that will cause another headache. Not just because it’s yet another by-election, but the next Conservative candidate for Tamworth is Eddie Hughes, who is moving from Walsall North which won’t exist at the next GE.
So either they get a stand-in for a year, or Eddie Hughes stands in Tamworth, then they need another by-election in Walsall North even though the constituency won’t exist for much longer.